Sunday 18 August, 2019

Phillips team rubbishes Bunting-commissioned poll; releasing own data

Opposition Leader Dr Peter Phillips addresses Comrades at the launch of his 'One PNP' campaign.

Opposition Leader Dr Peter Phillips addresses Comrades at the launch of his 'One PNP' campaign.

The ‘One PNP’ campaign of People’s National Party (PNP) President Dr Peter Phillips has responded quickly to a poll commissioned by his challenger Peter Bunting that shows Bunting as the candidate who would have less challenge defeating Andrew Holness and the Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) in the next General Election.

According to Bunting’s Rise United Campaign, 39 per cent of respondents preferred Bunting to 21 per cent for Phillips when asked, ‘Who would be the best leader of the People’s National Party?’ in the Don Anderson poll. That’s an 18 percentage point difference. Some 25 per cent of respondents were ‘not sure’ while 16 per cent said ‘none’.

More importantly, when asked ‘Who had the better chance of beating Prime Minister Andrew Holness?’, 36 per cent of respondents said Bunting, 16 per cent said Phillips, 19 per cent were ‘not sure’ while a significant 29 per cent said ‘none’.

However, Chairman of the Phillips campaign, Senator KD Knight has rubbished those findings, describing them as garbled, incomprehensible and out of line with OnePNP’s polling data.”

“The data presentation was obviously designed to confuse the public but in particular, the party delegates, who are overwhelmingly in support of the President of the People’s National Party, Dr Peter Phillips. 

“In none of the answers provided to the questions did they account for 100 per cent of the sample size, which gave the distinct impression that the numbers were being selectively presented.

“This data makes no sense without knowing the size of the undecided elements,” Knight stated.

The veteran Comrade also promised that the Phillips campaign will release its own poll data by the end of the week. That poll was undertaken by noted pollster Bill Johnson between August 2 and 4 and had a sample size of 1,000 respondents. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 per cent. The Anderson poll had a sample size of 750 respondents and also had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 per cent.

Meanwhile, Knight also cautioned delegates against taking the findings of the Rise United campaign seriously.

“The OnePNP campaign, whereas it acknowledges the right of Rise United to highlight numbers to make its own case, it is important that delegates be warned of the convenience of the results presented,” Knight said.

And, while promising to make the results of the Johnson poll public by the end of the week, Knight gave a synopsis of those findings.

On the question of: “If the election were being held today and Peter Phillips was party leader of the PNP and Opposition Leader, do you think you would probably vote for the JLP, definitely vote for the JLP, probably vote for the PNP, definitely vote for the PNP, or probably would not vote as things stand now?”

Some 34 per cent of respondents said they would vote for Holness, 32 per cent would vote for Phillips, 10 per cent were undecided, two per cent declined to answer while 22 per cent indicated that they were not voting.

When the question was asked, ‘What if Peter Bunting were the leader of the PNP and Opposition Leader?”

Thirty-six per cent of respondents indicated that they would vote for Holness, 27 per cent said Bunting, 12 per cent were undecided, two per cent declined to answer and 23 per cent said they were not voting.

Knight said the OnePNP campaign rejected, in particular, the claim that the increase in PNP support by 12 percentage points over the past two months was entirely attributable to the work of the Bunting campaign. Senator Knight said any such claim had to be a farce, as comrades from both campaigns had been active in the field over the same period.

Bunting, the Member of Parliament for Central Manchester, is challenging Phillips for the presidency of the PNP. They will face off against each other in a special delegates’ conference on September 7.

To date, Bunting has a slight edge in the number of Members of Parliament backing him.

For his part, Phillips has claimed the majority support of the women in leadership in the party and of the Opposition Senators.

As it relates to the eight Opposition Senators, all but one have declared support for Phillips. Senator Wentworth Skeffery can not declare as he is a member of the party’s secretariat.

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